Survival: August 2023

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<P><I>Survival</I>, the IISS¿s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.</P><P>In this issue:</P><UL><LI>Fran¿s Heisbourg assesses that Ukraine might have to accept the de facto division of the country to secure a fast track into NATO</LI><LI>Daniel Byman writes that state ties to terrorist groups are likely to feature in the western alliance¿s long-term confrontation with Russia and in its rivalry with China</LI><LI>Juan Pablo Medina Bickel and Irene Mia assess that global climate mitigation and the energy transition could reinforce South America¿s geopolitical clout</LI></UL><P>From the <I>Survival</I> archives, the late David P. Calleo predicted in 1999 that a successful euro would enhance the EU¿s diplomatic and military capabilities, while the late James Dobbins considered in 2012 how the US could prevent a war with China</P><P>Dana H. Allin and John L. Harper reflect on long-time <I>Sur